SYSTEMIC DEBT IS THE MOTOR DRIVING OUR ECONOMY
Mass insolvency is currently hitting the headlines, and debt help-lines are inundated with calls from those who have got into difficulty with their mortgages, or succumbed to the offers of credit-card companies.
Credit has been all too easy to come by, with even respectable stores like Marks and Spencer offering thousands of pounds' worth of debt without any realistic check on their customers' ability to pay.
The popular view is that people have become too greedy, splashing out way beyond their means on designer goods and overseas holidays.
But when
the government no longer makes any significant debt-free contribution to the
money supply, is it any wonder that the past fifty years have seen a dramatic
decline in solvency among ordinary people in the UK, with personal debts in
January, 2006 reaching an unprecedented high of £1.168 trillion - a
total which, according to Credit Action, is increasing by a further £1 million every
four minutes ?
A debt of
this size - much of it run up in the desperate competition to own a home of one's own - is not the result of ordinary people’s profligacy or financial
incompetence - it is an inevitable outcome of the present
financial system.
It shows
quite clearly that what we are dealing with here is not casual, but systemic debt.
WHAT SYSTEMIC DEBT MEANS TO YOU AND YOUR FAMILY
Having read this
far, you may agree that there’s something irrational about the way we create
our money supply - but you’re probably also thinking, “Why
bother to make a fuss? All this stuff is
a bit confusing, and should be left to the experts - they
seem to think it’s ok. I’ve got my work
cut out getting by under the present system, I don’t see how reforming it would
make any difference to me.”
But there
you would be wrong. Putting debt-free money into
circulation is the single basic reform capable of transforming the prospects of
every person in this country, including yourself and your family.
People need money
to produce goods and to trade everyday essentials. If that money is not being supplied as a
public service, they must use whatever alternatives are available.
For most people, that means
bank credit: and bank credit comes at a very high cost to all of us, not just
the actual borrowers.
Economists often
talk of ‘consumer confidence’ or ‘investor confidence’ as if this were simply a
question of deciding whether or not to spend money previously saved.
Yet increasingly this
“confidence” depends on the willingness and ability of ordinary people and
businesses to go into debt; for, unless they do, the banks are unable to create
and circulate money.
Obviously not
everyone has to go into the red to run their household or business. In fact,
most people will do all they can to avoid borrowing. But in an expanding economy which is
sustained almost entirely by systemic debt, a sufficient - and
constantly increasing - number of people
must
take out loans, simply in order to provide the country with an adequate
means of exchange.
The
obligatory nature of debt under our present system can be highlighted by an
extreme example. What would happen if
all outstanding loans were paid back, without further borrowing taking place?
The answer
is that everything would grind to a halt.
There would be NO money supply beyond cash, and almost no economic
activity. We would be back to barter.
Clearly, then, as
long as we cling to our present financial system, more and more of us must constantly
be taking on new debt. Nobody wants to be
the one to do it, but unless somebody does, everybody will
suffer.
So what does this mean for you and your family?
1 Sooner or later you, or someone close to
you, is likely to get into serious debt.
When practically
the entire money supply has to be borrowed into existence, someone, somewhere
must always be laying their solvency on the line to keep the economy going.
You may be lucky enough to have a job which
provides you with a decent standard of living without need for further
borrowing. However, there is no
guarantee that your children and their families will be equally fortunate.
Under a financial system based on systemic
debt, everybody is vulnerable.
2 You can expect prices to keep rising, along
with debt.
For most start-up businesses, the only option
is a bank loan: and when interest rates are low, this is a tempting
possibility. Even established businesses
habitually borrow to invest, since the need to stay competitive under a system
that, by its very nature, keeps money in short supply usually makes independent
capital formation (the practice of putting aside profits for future investment)
impossible. (In contrast, banks can
simply cream off interest charges on money which they have created out of
nothing to finance themselves.)
The need to
service and repay loans adds significantly to production costs, and must
eventually force most firms to raise prices, even in today’s cut-throat
business environment.
Meanwhile, rising prices, plus the need to
service the huge mortgages which now create the bulk of our money supply, put
family budgets under strain, leading either to more borrowing or demands for
wage increases, to meet the escalating cost of living.
Systemic debt, therefore, is a major contributor to (some would say the
fundamental cause of) the wage/price spiral which afflicts modern
economies. It is a verifiable fact that,
as the proportion of our money supply created as a debt has risen from 60% to
97% of the whole, inflation has become endemic: a perennial threat to business
success and to the family budget, and a built-in feature of economic life.
3 You will pay through the nose to put a roof
over your head.
In the opening years of the 21st
century, more people than ever have a mortgage.
A mortgage is, traditionally, a very special
kind of debt - a respectable debt, which is not associated
with profligacy, and not thought to be risky or unduly expensive.
Not any
more.
Between 1960 and 1996 total
During this period, the rise in house prices
has far outstripped official inflation figures: but prices could never have risen so high if
ample loans had not been made available by the lending institutions.
How were
people induced to undertake the degree of debt necessary to bid property prices
up so high, way beyond any increase in real value? How were we tempted into mortgage debt which
frequently far exceeds what we can comfortably service and repay?
This level of debt was only made feasible by a
considerable relaxation of the rules governing mortgage borrowing. If minimal deposits and loans based on
increasingly unrealistic multiples of not one but two wage packets had not come
to be accepted as the norm, the amounts lent would have remained too low to
permit excessive house-price rises.
So why did successive governments sit back and allow - even
encourage - the increased borrowing which has now driven
property prices up beyond the reach of most first-time buyers?
When we remember that mortgages provide the
country with around 60% of its money supply, it seems reasonable to assume that
any loosening of the criteria for borrowing served a definite political
and economic objective.
Relaxation of the rules has certainly led to a massive expansion of the
money supply by making it possible for people to take on previously unthinkable
quantities of housing debt.
The result
is that housing costs now absorb 17.5% of the average
For the banks, the property bubble is a huge
money-creation bonanza. For the
government, it is a valuable source of revenue, as stamp duty and capital gains
tax roll in, and inheritance tax thresholds fail to keep up with grossly
inflated house prices: not to mention the fact that all those debt-soaked
property “owers” are obligingly taking on, at their own risk and expense,
money-creation duties which should be shouldered by a public authority.
However, there has never yet been a bubble which didn’t burst; and
unless this one is the exception to the rule, the excessive borrowing
assiduously fostered by bank and government policy may once more end in
negative equity and widespread repossessions.
Even if, by some miracle, it doesn’t - say,
for instance, that government decides the only solution to the present
monstrous debt bubble is to unleash inflation, allowing mortgages to be paid
off (while impoverishing, through no fault of their own, those with no wage-bargaining muscle, and
people on fixed incomes) - our dependence upon systemic debt has already
brought us to the point where two full-time jobs are required to service the
average family’s housing costs, when previously one would have sufficed: a
situation which, under the present financial system, is unlikely to change.
As long as governments rely on systemic debt to put money into
circulation, it is in their interests to keep mortgage lending high: and you
and your children will be the ones to suffer.
4 Family
life will come under increasing strain
According to a recent (as of May, 2006) survey
by the Financial Services Authority (FSA), quoted by Credit action, “Three
quarters of British couples find money the hardest subject to talk about with
their partners”. In fact, financial
worries are a major cause not only of ill-health, but of marital breakdown, as
partners lie to each other and argue over their different spending priorities
within a tight budget.
And
household budgets are becoming ever tighter as business and government debt
drive up prices and taxes, and unreasonable levels of mortgage borrowing further reduce disposable
incomes.
To understand the scale of the problem, just
take a look at the “Debt Statistics” section of this
website.
Fifty years ago it was possible for a working
man on an average income to provide for his family without any need for his
wife to undertake full-time employment.
If she wanted to have a career, or to take a part-time job for pin
money, fine: she had the choice.
Nowadays the one-wage-earner family is almost extinct. If one partner or the other is lucky enough
to be employed in a high-salaried sector of the economy, that option may still
exist; but most individual wage-packets cannot hope to cover the monthly
outgoings of today’s average family, with its huge mortgage payments and
inflated council tax and fuel bills.
On top of this, the acute lack of disposable
income after essential bills and living expenses have been paid means that even
most two-earner families cannot afford to hire outside contractors to repair
and decorate their houses, or to do the cleaning, and must undertake these
tasks themselves, in their spare time.
The result is that people have less and less
true leisure to share with their partners and their children; and when they do
manage to grab the odd hour or two
together, they are frequently so tired and stressed that it is spent
eating ready-made TV dinners, flopped down in front of larger and larger
television screens (“luxury” items whose price
- unlike those basic bills and
expenses which cannot be avoided - is held down by improved technology and the
pitiful level of wages in developing countries).
Fifty years
ago, we were being told to expect an age of increased leisure, as machines did
the hard work for us.
So what happened?
The sad fact is that, far from reaping the benefits of increased
automation, many people are suffering from its consequences, as the free time
we were promised, along with the money which reflects the vast expansion in
productive power of the modern economy
- a productive power which is the
fruit of advances made by past generations, and which should be the common
legacy of all human beings - is unevenly distributed.
Instead of the rewards of improved technology
being expressed in shorter working hours, with a higher standard of living for
all, and ample opportunity for hobbies and shared family activities, we have a
society in which the unemployed are left with endless free time on their hands,
but little money to help them make the most of it; while couples who are lucky
enough to have a job apiece are forced to put their small babies into full-time
care five days a week, and can barely find
time to relax with their families in the evenings and at weekends, once
all the routine household chores and repairs have been done.
Today, we have overcome the problem of
production. The productive power of the
modern economy is unprecedented - yet much of it is being wasted in planned
obsolescence and overproduction of only marginally useful goods, simply in
order to keep money going round in the traditional way, in the form of
wages.
But why, if more goods than ever can be created with minimal man-power,
should we continue to depend almost exclusively on paid employment to
distribute the money which represents and gives access to this increased
production?
Why, if the government can afford to pay
couples a child-care allowance, so that they can both take on full-time jobs
while farming out their tiny children from morning to night, can’t it subsidise
them to job-share or work part-time, or pay one or other partner to stay at
home giving those children the loving parental attention which should be their
birth-right, at least until they begin school?
It all comes back to a question of choice.
The fact is that the government chooses to rely on systemic debt
to put money into circulation, rather than creating and distributing an
adequate means of exchange debt-free.
And as long as governments persist in this choice, fewer and fewer
people will be able to put the necessary time and energy into evolving an
emotionally supportive family unit, as both parents struggle to keep the home
together while holding down two full-time jobs in order to service and repay
their debts.
Why, then, are governments apparently so
determined to make every parent a wage-earner?
In an
economy fuelled by systemic debt, it makes perfect sense to push as many people
as possible into paid employment - whether or not the jobs they do are actually
necessary.
Firstly, governments which refuse to create a
debt-free money supply are always strapped for cash as they try to hold down
the national debt: and the greater the number of people employed, the
higher the tax take.
If one partner stays at home looking after the
family and one goes out to work, there is only one wage packet available
for income tax and National Insurance deductions. If both parents work full-time, not only do
they provide twice the opportunity for taxation - they
also create little clients for a flourishing
child-care industry, further boosting the number of jobs
available, and the Chancellor’s tax intake.
So, instead of advances in production methods
bringing the benefits of increased leisure without any fall in income, we have
the absurd situation where jobs which are only marginally necessary must be
created - jobs in government; jobs in PR and
advertising; jobs in regulatory agencies; jobs in financial services; jobs in
call centres; and, of course, jobs in childcare; all of them jobs which produce
no real wealth, or which do work which would be best performed free of charge
within a loving family unit: but jobs which, though essentially
feeding off the real wealth producers, distribute the wages which ensure
that money keeps flowing through the economy and into the
government’s coffers.
Secondly, since mortgages now create around
60% of the money supply, people have got to be able to afford them;
and this is now impossible for most couples unless two pay packets are available
to service the huge debts required.
The bottom line is this: if levels of borrowing high enough to support
our debt-based financial system are to be maintained, as many people as
possible must be driven out to work, whether or not this makes the best
use of their own particular talents, or fits in with their personal preferences
or the needs of their partners and their children.
In this way, an economy in thrall to systemic
debt warps our instinctive priorities.
The PR line may be that employment outside the home “emancipates” women;
but some women (and some men, too) might prefer to be their own boss, running a
home and looking after their family, to doing a boring and repetitive job under
somebody else’s thumb; yet, unless their partner has a prestigious and
well-paid career, this has become financially impossible.
All too
frequently, the need for both partners to undertake paid employment outside
the home, with all the time-consuming commuting which this entails, contributes
to the disintegration of family life; and divorce is already becoming less the
exception than the rule.
Unless we abandon systemic debt, and find a sensible way of creating and widely distributing sufficient
money to reflect the wealth and leisure made possible by a properly functioning
high-tech economy, you yourself, or someone close to you, will be increasingly
likely to experience family breakdown.
5 You will be able to leave far less to your
children
The recent unprecedented inflation in house
prices has been greeted with joy by home owners, who feel they have become rich
overnight.
Yet very
little of this newly created “wealth” will be passed on to future generations,
because it is being dissipated in current consumption.
Recent years have seen a massive drop in the
level of savings in the
However,
these ersatz “savings”, in the form of housing equity, have not remained
untouched. With pensions failing to keep
up with the cost of living, and the government raiding the funds of those who
take the trouble to save for their old age, elderly people in particular are
choosing to supplement their income with “equity release”.
Fewer people nowadays actually hold the deeds
of their houses. Mortgages are far
bigger than they used to be; it takes longer to pay them off; and even after
they are paid, re-mortgaging is becoming commonplace, perhaps to meet some pressing
financial obligation, perhaps when parents help their children with a deposit,
to get them onto the first rung of the housing ladder - a
deposit which young couples would have been able to save up for themselves when
wages went further, and the basic expenses of living were less crippling.
Since the great inflation of the seventies,
everybody knows that wage demands lead to higher prices; yet even dirt-cheap
imports from low-wage economies do not compensate for the rising cost of
unavoidable outgoings like housing, fares and council tax, with interest
charges and debt repayments an inbuilt component of that cost.
The only alternatives to wage demands, when
faced with the rising prices associated with systemic debt, is a drastic cut in
standards of living; or increased borrowing, leading to even less disposable
income; or, for those who own property, “equity withdrawal” - the
equivalent of a visit to the pawn shop.
In an economy which borrows its money into
existence, increasing numbers of people consider equity release the “least
worst” option, and decide to exchange lasting value for short-term liquidity,
just to keep up with the rising costs generated by the servicing and repayment
of all that debt.
But when
real wealth is exchanged for money, and used for current consumption (either
voluntarily, to purchase goods which quickly lose their value, or of necessity,
in the struggle to make ends meet), there is less and less to pass on to the
next generation.
What is more, the “wealth” generated by rising
house prices may well prove to be illusory.
As Mervyn King, Governor of the Bank of
If the property bubble bursts - as
is the nature of every bubble that ever was, is or shall be - a
lot of people will find themselves owing more than the banks consider their
houses to be worth.
Worse, should the banks decide to call in their loans, in the event of a severe recession, those who have no savings to cover borrowing undertaken during the boom could find themselves bankrupt and homeless. It has happened before, and there is no guarantee that it could not happen again.
Nevertheless, under a financial system based upon systemic debt, more and more of us will be forced to tap into our highly questionable "equity" in the battle to meet rising costs; and more and more real wealth (ie, the kind of property that maintains its intrinsic value) will be transferred to the lending institutions, both through mortgage equity release and, in the event of a property market collapse or a depression, repossessions.
On top
of this, as people live longer, and cash-strapped governments renege on
promises to pay for “cradle to grave” health care, more and more of us are
having to sell the houses we hoped to leave to our children to cover the costs
of residential care.
The fact is, that unless the government grasps the money reform nettle,
you will be very lucky to have any “equity” to pass on to your children in
future years.
6 You
will be taxed “until the pips squeak”
It was Denis Healey, when he was Chancellor of
the Exchequer, who was said to have threatened to “tax the rich until the pips
squeak”.
Under our present regime of systemic debt, things are far worse. When
every level of government is in hock to the banks, it’s not just the rich who
suffer: to service the debt - just service it, mind, not pay it off -
EVERYBODY must be taxed until the pips squeak.
Income tax, “National Insurance” tax (both
employer’s and employee’s), council tax, company taxes, capital gains tax,
inheritance tax, stamp duty, fuel tax, motor vehicle tax , VAT …
however poor you are, you can’t escape.
When governments have debts to service, they need to raise more in
taxes.
Here in the north-east of
In 2004/5,
for instance,
Look at the huge sum necessary to service the
national debt!
This
amounts to between £30 and £40 billion a year:
more than total spending on housing, education and the police force!
Imagine the difference to all of us, if there
were no need for public authorities to pay the costs of borrowing!
Joseph Huber and James Robertson of the New Economics Foundation reckon
that the decision to create our money supply as a debt owed to the banks,
rather than issuing it debt-free as a public service, robs the country of
around £47 billion a year, ensuring poor services, miserly pensions and
ill-maintained infrastructure. This
endemic lack of money also encourages the adoption of dubious PFI projects and
the sale of public assets, in a vain struggle to make ends meet.
We are
constantly told that we must choose between low taxation and good public
services: but this is just not true.
It is only in an economy based on systemic debt that we are forced
to make this unnecessary choice.
But until you insist on reform of the present insane financial system, you will continue to be taxed “until the pips squeak”.
WHAT SYSTEMIC DEBT MEANS TO THE ECONOMY
For a start,
systemic debt - the inescapable consequence of relying upon
ordinary people and businesses borrowing money into existence to provide the
country with its means of exchange
- allows the banks to decide who
shall, and who shall not, have money:
and, naturally, the banks will tend to patronise those individuals and
businesses most likely to promote and safeguard banking interests.
In this
way, the banks are effectively being handed enormous power over the whole
economy, picking and choosing who shall have first use of the extra spending
power which they alone are licensed to create.
This might seem
fair enough, if all the projects which they considered loan-worthy led to an
increase in real wealth for the economy as a whole.
All too
often, however, they merely involve speculation by those aiming to gain a
larger share of what already exists, and contribute nothing to the increased production
of genuine assets (ie, goods and services).
Meanwhile, more risky, though potentially innovative and widely
beneficial, enterprises can go a-begging.
Think, for
instance, of the amount of money that flows unproductively into international
currency markets, with speculators frequently holding the power of life and
death over whole economies.
Think of the huge
sums which have poured into the stock markets and property markets over the
last twenty years or so - very little of it in any way related to an
increase in real value, or the production of new wealth.
Then think
of all the potential which may have been sacrificed: new businesses which never
saw the light - businesses which might have represented a
genuine breakthrough, or answered a genuine need, but which were denied
start-up funds because they didn’t match
up with the priorities and risk assessments of the banking sector.
But the blighting
effect of systemic debt on our economy does more than discourage less
conventional independent ventures and choke off promising new ideas which offer
no advantage to the financial and corporate powers-that-be. There is also the problem of the “business
cycle”.
Clearly,
successive booms and busts are implicit in a system which cannot function
unless sufficient people are prepared to go into debt.
Under systemic
debt, if there is a significant slump in borrowing, the banks will not be able to create
enough money to keep the economy working at full capacity.
A recessionary
cycle now sets in. With too little
money in circulation to maintain sales, less successful businesses will feel
the pinch first, think twice about the extra costs of borrowing to invest, and
begin to lay off staff. In the face of
increasing redundancies, “consumer confidence” will plummet, leading to even
less borrowing (ie, even less money available) and even lower sales … so
that even more businesses stop borrowing to invest … some
of them go to the wall … some lay off yet more workers … and
so on …
“Consumer
confidence” must now somehow be restored, if bust is to be transformed into
boom.
The government
has traditionally utilized two methods to achieve this.
The first is fiscal
policy, whereby the national debt is increased to allow growth in
public spending, in the hope that this will stimulate activity in the wider
economy. In theory, this money will be
paid back when the economic climate improves, but in practice this rarely
happens.
The second method
is monetary
policy, currently administered on behalf of the government by the Bank
of England. This aims to control the
level of borrowing, and therefore the money supply, by raising and lowering
interest rates.
The drawback of
monetary policy is that, if the aim is to expand the money supply, the banks
are, as usual, left free to determine who is to receive the extra money
created, and how it is to be spent. It
could be spent on investments which help to revive the economy - or
it could be used speculatively, giving those whom the banks already consider a
good risk the opportunity to acquire an even greater share of what is already
available, without producing any new wealth to benefit the economy as a whole.
Should the
economy appear to be “overheating”, this policy goes into reverse, as interest rates are raised, in order to
discourage further money creation by the banks.
People and
businesses who have borrowed in good faith may now find themselves unable to
service previously manageable debts, and be driven to bankruptcy, thus removing
huge sums of money from circulation, and throwing the country back into the
recessionary phase of the cycle.
In Michael
Rowbotham’s words, “There could be no greater admission of the utter and total inadequacy
of modern economics to understand and regulate the financial system than
through this wholesale entrapment and subsequent bludgeoning of the entire
economy.”
Yet
the manipulation of interest rates, resulting in the boom and bust of the
so-called “business cycle”, will remain a key way to control the amount of
money in circulation, as long as the banking system has a monopoly on the issue
of credit, and creates it in tandem with debt.
In this
propensity to “boom and bust” the defects of our debt-based monetary system are
writ large. But there are many less
obvious but equally destructive consequences of depending upon the commercial
banks to provide us with a money supply.
For instance,
another result of the chronic shortage of money inseparable from systemic debt
is cut-throat business competition, resulting in a pursuit of cheapness above
quality. When people are struggling to
pay for the essentials, low prices, wherever possible, are the priority: and the company
that offers the lowest prices stays in business.
This not
only favours the production of inferior goods and planned obsolescence; it also
leads, among other things, to increased centralisation and mass-production;
degradation of the environment and waste of resources, as transport is used as
a competitive device to capture new markets; and the scrapping of home
production, unable to compete against the rock-bottom wages which are the norm
in developing countries.
Whether you look
at it from the point of view of the economy as a whole, or in relation to its
impact on individuals, families, and businesses, there can be no doubt that
systemic debt is a root cause of many of the problems experienced in Britain
today: inflation, unemployment, boom and bust, crippling levels of taxation,
the exclusion of young people from the housing market, poor services, public
squalor, the deterioration of infrastructure, mass insolvency, pollution, waste
…..
Perhaps reform of the monetary system would not wipe out all these problems, but it would certainly make an enormous difference to our attempts to solve them
But there
is no need for all this "lending" and "borrowing".
It’s time we
replaced a system incapable of satisfying people’s needs with one which can.
Allowing the
banks to shape and control our lives through their monopoly on the issue of
credit as a debt against businesses and families is wasteful and inefficient.
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